“Based on recent data on the economy, unemployment, real estate, and more, many economists are revising their forecasts for the remainder of 2020 – and the outlook is extremely encouraging.”
Mortgage Purchase Originations: Joel Kan, Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting, Mortgage Bankers Association
“The recovery in housing is happening faster than expected. We anticipated a drop off in Q3. But, we don’t think that’s the case anymore. We revised our Q3 numbers higher. Before, we predicted a 2 percent decline in purchase originations in 2020, now we think there will be 2 percent growth this year.”
Home Sales: Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist, National Association of Realtors
“Sales completed in May reflect contract signings in March and April – during the strictest times of the pandemic lock down and hence the cyclical low point…Home sales will surely rise in the upcoming months with the economy reopening, and could even surpass one-year-ago figures in the second half of the year.”
Inventory: George Ratiu, Senior Economist, realtor.com
“We can project that the next few months will see a slow-yet-steady improvement in new inventory…we projected a stepped improvement for the May through August months, followed by a return to historical trend for the September through December time frame.”
Mortgage Rates: Freddie Mac
“Going forward, we forecast the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage to remain low, falling to a yearly average of 3.4% in 2020 and 3.2% in 2021.”
New Construction: Doug Duncan, Chief Economist, Fannie Mae
“The weaker-than-expected single-family starts number may be a matter of timing, as single-family permits jumped by a stronger 11.9 percent. In addition, the number of authorized single-family units not yet started rose 5.4 percent to the second-highest level since 2008. This suggests that a significant acceleration in new construction will likely occur.”
Bottom Line
The experts are optimistic about the second half of the year. If you paused your 2020 real estate plans this spring, let’s connect today to determine how you can re-engage in the process.
To view original article, visit Keeping Current Matters.
Are More Homes Coming onto the Market?
If you’ve been putting off selling your house, now may be the sweet spot to make your move. The longer you wait, the more competition you’ll have.
Why Is Housing Inventory So Low?
The shortage of inventory isn’t just a today problem. It’s been a challenge for years. Let’s take a look what contributed this limited supply
What Experts Project for Home Prices Over the Next 5 Years
Once you buy a home, price appreciation raises your home’s value, and that grows your household wealth.
Planning to Retire? Your Equity Can Help You Make a Move
Whether you’re looking to downsize, relocate to a dream destination, or move closer to friends or loved ones, equity in your home may help.
Expert Home Price Forecasts Revised Up for 2023
As activity slows again at the end of the year, home price growth will slow too. This doesn’t mean prices are falling.
Buyer Traffic Is Still Stronger than the Norm
Buyers will always need to buy, and those who can afford to move at today’s rates are going to do so.