“Based on recent data on the economy, unemployment, real estate, and more, many economists are revising their forecasts for the remainder of 2020 – and the outlook is extremely encouraging.”
Mortgage Purchase Originations: Joel Kan, Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting, Mortgage Bankers Association
“The recovery in housing is happening faster than expected. We anticipated a drop off in Q3. But, we don’t think that’s the case anymore. We revised our Q3 numbers higher. Before, we predicted a 2 percent decline in purchase originations in 2020, now we think there will be 2 percent growth this year.”
Home Sales: Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist, National Association of Realtors
“Sales completed in May reflect contract signings in March and April – during the strictest times of the pandemic lock down and hence the cyclical low point…Home sales will surely rise in the upcoming months with the economy reopening, and could even surpass one-year-ago figures in the second half of the year.”
Inventory: George Ratiu, Senior Economist, realtor.com
“We can project that the next few months will see a slow-yet-steady improvement in new inventory…we projected a stepped improvement for the May through August months, followed by a return to historical trend for the September through December time frame.”
Mortgage Rates: Freddie Mac
“Going forward, we forecast the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage to remain low, falling to a yearly average of 3.4% in 2020 and 3.2% in 2021.”
New Construction: Doug Duncan, Chief Economist, Fannie Mae
“The weaker-than-expected single-family starts number may be a matter of timing, as single-family permits jumped by a stronger 11.9 percent. In addition, the number of authorized single-family units not yet started rose 5.4 percent to the second-highest level since 2008. This suggests that a significant acceleration in new construction will likely occur.”
Bottom Line
The experts are optimistic about the second half of the year. If you paused your 2020 real estate plans this spring, let’s connect today to determine how you can re-engage in the process.
To view original article, visit Keeping Current Matters.
Experts Project Home Prices Will Rise over the Next 5 Years
Experts project home prices will continue to rise across the country for years to come at a pace that’s more normal for the market.
Are The Top 3 Housing Market Questions on Your Mind?
When it comes to what’s happening in the housing market, there’s a lot of confusion going around right now.
Is Wall Street Buying Up All the Homes in America?
Are institutional investors, like large Wall Street Firms, really buying up so many homes that the average person can’t find one?
Are There Actually More Homes for Sale Right Now?
If you’re looking to buy, you may have slightly more options than you did in recent months, but you still need to brace for low inventory.
Is Your House the Top Thing on a Buyer’s Wish List this Holiday Season?
Anyone shopping for a new home between Thanksgiving and New Year’s is likely going to be a serious buyer.
People Are Still Moving, Even with Today’s Affordability Challenges
It’s true that buying a home has become more expensive over the past couple of years, but people are still moving.