Why Home Prices Are Increasing
There are many unsubstantiated theories as to why home values are continuing to increase. From those who are worried that lending standards are again becoming too lenient (data shows this is untrue), to those who are concerned that prices are again approaching boom peaks because of “irrational exuberance” (this is also untrue as prices are not at peak levels when they are adjusted for inflation), there seems to be no shortage of opinion.
However, the increase in prices is easily explained by the theory of supply & demand. Whenever there is a limited supply of an item that is in high demand, prices increase.
It is that simple. In real estate, it takes a six-month supply of existing salable inventory to maintain pricing stability. In most housing markets, anything less than six months will cause home values to appreciate and anything more than seven months will cause prices to depreciate (see chart below).
According to the Existing Home Sales Report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the monthly inventory of homes for sale has been below six months for the last five years (see chart below).
Bottom Line
If buyer demand continues to outpace the current supply of existing homes for sale, prices will continue to appreciate. Nothing nefarious is taking place. It is simply the theory of supply & demand working as it should.
People Want Less Expensive Homes – And Builders Are Responding
Builders producing smaller, less expensive newly built homes give you more affordable options at a time when that’s really needed.
Don’t Expect a Flood of Foreclosures
Before there can be a significant rise in foreclosures, the number of people who can’t pay their mortgage would need to rise. Since buyers are making their payments today, a wave of foreclosures isn’t likely.
Where Are People Moving Today and Why?
If you’re thinking of moving, you may be considering the inventory and affordability challenges in the housing market and how to offset these.
There’s Only Half the Inventory of a Normal Housing Market Today
If you want to list your house, know that there’s only about half the inventory there’d usually be in a more normal year.
Four Ways You Can Use Your Home Equity
Understanding how home equity works, and how to leverage it, is important for any homeowner.
Sellers: Don’t Let These Two Things Hold You Back
If fear you won’t be able to find your next home is the primary thing holding you back, remember to consider all your options.
Pricing Your House Right Still Matters Today
Pricing your house fairly based on market conditions increases the chance you’ll have more buyers who are interested in purchasing it.
Homebuyers Are Still More Active Than Usual
Buyer demand hasn’t disappeared, and in many places remains strong largely due to the shortage of homes on the market.
Don’t Fall for the Next Shocking Headlines About Home Prices
In the coming months, you’re going to see even more headlines that either get what’s happening with home prices wrong or are misleading.
Foreclosure Numbers Today Aren’t Like 2008
Today, foreclosures are far below the record-high number that was reported when the housing market crashed.