"Have you heard the term “Silver Tsunami” getting tossed around recently?"
Have you heard the term “Silver Tsunami” getting tossed around recently? If so, here’s what you really need to know. That phrase refers to the idea that a lot of baby boomers are going to move or downsize all at once. And the fear is that a sudden influx of homes for sale would have a big impact on housing. That’s because it would create a whole lot more competition for smaller homes and would throw off the balance of supply and demand, which ultimately would impact home prices.
But here’s the thing. There are a couple of faults in that logic. Let’s break them down and put your mind at ease.
Not All Baby Boomers Plan To Move
For starters, plenty of baby boomers don’t plan on moving at all. A study from the AARP says more than half of adults aged 65 and older want to stay in their homes and not move as they age (see graph below):
While it’s true circumstances may change and some people who don’t plan to move (the red in the chart above) may realize they need to down the road, the vast majority are counting on aging in place.
As for those who stay put, they’ll likely modify their homes as their needs change over time. And when updating their existing home won’t work, some will buy a second home and keep their original one as an investment to fuel generational wealth for their loved ones. As an article from Inman explains:
“Many boomers have no desire to retire fully and take up less space . . . Many will modify their current home, and the wealthiest will opt to have multiple homes.”
Even Those Who Do Move Won’t Do It All at Once
While not all baby boomers are looking to sell their homes and move – the ones who do won’t all do it at the same time. Instead, it’ll happen slowly over many years. As Freddie Mac says:
“We forecast the ‘tsunami’ will be more like a tide, bringing a gradual exit of 9.2 million Boomers by 2035 . . .”
As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, says:
“Demographics are never a tsunami. The baby boomer generation is almost two decades of births. That means they’re going to take about two decades to work their way through.”
Bottom Line
If you're stressed about a Silver Tsunami shaking the housing market overnight, don't be. Baby boomers will move slowly over a much longer period of time.
To view original article, visit Keeping Current Matters.
Most Home Sales Close – Here’s How To Keep Yours on Track
Some reasons are outside a seller’s control, like whether a buyer’s loan clears or whether they sell their own home in time. But there are a few proactive things you can do to help make sure your sale goes as smoothly as possible.
Selling a Luxury House? Here’s Why Now Is a Good Time
High-end buyers tend to feel less of the affordability pressure weighing on many households today, so they keep buying even when the wider market slows.
More Homes, Better Prices: A Buyer’s Summer
Sellers are reading market conditions and are pricing accordingly from the start rather than listing high and cutting later, and buyers are taking note and making bids.
The “Take It or Leave It” Attitude Is Fading from the Market – What That Means for You
That’s why whether you’re buying or selling today, there are two terms you’ll hear a lot: concession and incentive.
What Buying or Selling a Home Gives Back to Your Community
Want to know what a move would mean where you live? A local agent can show you the figure close to home.
The 1 Factor That Explains Everything Happening with Home Prices Right Now
The national average of 1.7% price growth is accurate, but it’s an average of two very different stories happening at the same time – the few areas experiencing mild declines and the overwhelming majority that are still seeing prices rise.